This is a good summation of the case. I think people overthink this one and if the answer here is the most statistically likely one, it was “the last person to see her alive.” You and others have nailed it with the pounding feet being the struggle the other residents heard occurring above, almost certainly a sexually-motivated attack occurring after a rebuff. Let’s say (what if) they had just come from the bar, emotions were high, and he knew the boyfriend wasn’t coming back from jail.
Texts sent afterwards to demonstrate someone’s innocence are classic post-homicide attempts at “alibis of ignorance.” You see this in so many cases today. If you check out this individual’s social media (his Twitter dates back to the actual date of her disappearance) you will see that he posted absolutely nothing about his concern for his missing friend. Instead, he was posting things that were very sexual in a predatory way and degrading towards women in general. Recently he posted something on Facebook that also seemed very revealing to me and I read it as relating to K.S. Also, where was he when it came time to participate in those documentaries that we have all seen. His absence and lack of participation seem very telling. Some might construe it otherwise.
Most likely she died by strangulation at 3:30 a.m. and her body was removed somewhere in those next three hours. Was the rug really missing? If you move a body that fast, you’re not even going to get hits from the cadaver dogs, but I doubt they were even brought in. I wonder what sort of technician work was done. A metropolitan police force would probably have had much better success with that crime scene. And I’m sure that apartment was the crime scene.
I rule out the downstairs neighbors because that would have been two people carrying the guilt and he is the one who called the police back in, after all, which is something that never would have happened had he or his partner been the perpetrator. That in itself is exonerative. Let’s say (what if) her “friend” just carried her out in the still of the night. How hard would that be? She probably was wrapped up good in something, a rug or trash bags. Because I know they checked the car and came up with bupkiss. Again, if he worked very fast, and she was wrapped up in something well, there might be nothing, no hair, no cadaverine, no other trace evidence. Some bad guys do get lucky. Does anyone really buy the “I was just sleeping so soundly!” line?
Passing a lie detector test doesn’t mean a lot to me. Guilty people pass it all the time. Innocent people fail all the time. It’s why it’s not admissible in court.
I hope this young woman and her family get their day in court. They deserve it.
This is pure speculation and in no way am I insisting this is what happened. Consider this a fictional scenario. It is a fictional scenario based on the schematic of what I have seen in many other crime scenes and rooted in statistical likelihood.